A
delegation from the NATO Parliamentary Assembly, comprising 20 members from
nine NATO member states, visited Djibouti on 14-17 November 2011 to discuss
NATO operations off the Horn of Africa, visit military installations engaged in
these efforts, and explore a range of security, political and economic
challenges in the broader region.
Canada was represented by Senator Raynell Andreychuk,
Vice-Chair of the Mediterranean and Middle East Special Group (GSM).
Rear Admiral Gualtiero Mattesi, Commander of NATO's counter
piracy task force briefed the delegation on NATO’s counter-piracy mission,
Operation Ocean Shield. During a visit to the flagship of the NATO
taskforce, ITS Andrea Doria, participating parliamentarians learned that
on-going counter-piracy operations have substantially reduced the number of
pirate attacks in the region, but will not be positioned to entirely eliminate
the problem as long as the root causes remain unaddressed. Rear Admiral
Thomas Jugel, Force Commander of the EU NAVFOR Atalanta (Task Force 465)
completed the extensive briefings on the anti-piracy operations off the Horn of
Africa and the Indian Ocean. Somalia is a failed state and the central
government exercises no control over vast swathes of the country, including a
coastline from which many of these attacks are currently launched.
Moreover, the area of pirate operations is so vast that several speakers
likened the naval challenge to policing Europe with thirty police cars.
To date, there has been no decision to engage Somali pirates on land.
Regional security issues and their relevance for Alliance
security were discussed in meetings with senior military officials from France
and the US as well as with diplomatic representatives from NATO member
countries plus the Ambassador of the European Union in Djibouti. These
discussions revealed how important the development-security nexus is in this
region and the extent to which Western military forces operating in the region
need to incorporate considerations of development challenges in their work
there.
Composed of the Political Committee’s Sub-Committee on NATO
Partnerships, and the Assembly’s Special Mediterranean and Middle East Group,
the delegation also met with senior representatives of the government and the
parliament of Djibouti, including Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mahamoud Ali
Youssou, the Chief of Staff, General Fathi Ahmed Houssein as well as with
Idriss Arnaoud Ali, Speaker of the Parliament.
The role of the African Union (AU) in regional security and
particularly in Somalia as well as NATO-AU and EU-AU Co-operation were also on
the agenda. In addition, representatives from the International Monetary
Fund (IMF), the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees
(UNHCR), and the World Food Programme (WFP) briefed the delegation on economic
conditions in the region, regional trade patterns, and persistent and serious
famine in Eastern Africa.
DJIBOUTI
Though relatively small and sparsely populated (its surface
area is a mere 23,000 square km and its population amounts to an estimated
750,000 inhabitants), Djibouti nevertheless is of crucial geo-strategic
importance. Located near the Horn of Africa and close to the Bab
el-Mandab which connects the Red Sea with the Arabian Sea, Djibouti is the
centre of anti-piracy efforts in the Horn of Africa. It also serves as
the headquarters for the European Union’s Atalanta naval task force. A Japanese
contingent is also operating out of that port and the city also hosts the
forward operating base of U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM).
Djibouti is a strategically vital country in an unstable
neighbourhood. Host country speakers and representatives from NATO member
states frequently portrayed Djibouti as a safe haven in a very unstable but
strategically consequential region. In economic terms, Djibouti is faring
better than most of its direct neighbours, even though, with an average 1,139
USD annual GDP per capita, according to the UNHCR representative, it is a poor
country by any standard. The unemployment level stands at about
60%. Inadequate educational standards and a low level of vocational
training constitute important barriers to economic development as does the
dearth of water. Moreover, the people of Djibouti come out of a nomadic
tradition and lack basic agricultural expertise. Djibouti does have
potential as a generator of renewable energy but this will require substantial
investment to develop. Djibouti's location will likely remain its primary
economic asset and the region has become to depend on it for this
reason. The port of Djibouti, for example, handles approximately
90% of Ethiopian seaborne imports and exports. This is critical to
Ethiopia as its economy is growing rapidly.
President Ismail Omar Guelleh is the central political
actor in his country and the parliament is entirely controlled by legislators
sympathetic to him. Djibouti opted for a multi-party system in 1992,
though in practice it is dominated by one party. One independent observer
described the opposition, which is currently not represented in the parliament,
as weak and divided and it was learnt that the governing party has co-opted
opposition figures by bringing them into the ranks of that party. Clans
and sub-clans continue to dominate Djibouti’s political and economic life and
this constitutes something of a barrier to constructing a more modern democracy
along lines familiar to those in the West. The Government has initiated some
economic reforms, but implementation has been problematic. Despite the
myriad social and economic challenges it faces - including an influx of
refugees, some political unrest and drought - Djibouti will likely remain
reasonably stable over the short-term.
Although it does not confront any immediate threats,
Djibouti’s security situation is clearly conditioned by instability in the
neighbourhood. The challenges to the country and to regional security
derive from a host of inter-state conflicts like those between Eritrea and
Ethiopia or Ethiopia and Somalia, as well as numerous internal conflicts such as
those currently plaguing Sudan and Yemen. Illegal migration, arms and
drug trafficking and refugee flows are both a source of the dangerous security
landscape and a consequence of it. Many of the region’s borderlands are
unstable. Domestic conflicts in one country can easily spill beyond
national borders according to Colonel Abdourahman A. Cher, Commander of the
Naval Forces of Djibouti. Poverty, emigration, persistent drought and
rising food prices are aggravating the security situation in North-Eastern
Africa. Located at the crossroads linking Africa, Asia, the Middle East
and Europe, Djibouti has become an important transition point for migration
flows towards the Middle East. It currently hosts approximately 19,000
refugees, of whom approximately 90% are from Somalia, according to the UNHCR
representative in the country.
Several speakers suggested that the utterly chaotic
situation in Somalia constitutes the overarching security concern for the
region. The lack of central state authority has allowed criminal and terrorist
groups to operate freely in parts of that country. Maritime piracy and
terrorism have turned the region into a powder keg. As a result, Djibouti
is spending approximately 10% of its GDP for defence, while garnering
substantial Western military assistance and training support to improve the
capabilities of the Armed Forces of Djibouti (Forces Armées Djiboutiennes -
FAD). This assistance has helped Djibouti to contribute to regional
stability. The government will deploy a battalion to Mogadishu to serve
with the Africa Union Peacekeeping Force in Somalia (AMISOM) later in
November.
The FAD was created in 1977 and there are 6,000 soldiers
currently in uniform. The army forms the largest part of the country’s
military. The Air Force and the Coastal Navy are relatively small in
comparison and need to further develop their capabilities. Independent
observers noted that the FAD is now able to conduct adequate maritime
surveillance and generate significant intelligence. Colonel Cher noted
that Djibouti has participated actively in the fight against terrorist groups
since 2001 and also contributes to combating maritime piracy.
Foreign Minister Mahamoud Ali Youssouf, and
Colonel Cher both suggested that relations with Ethiopia are strong and that
Djibouti enjoys close economic ties with that country. Relations with
Eritrea, by contrast, remain tense and that country is seen as a highly
problematic actor in the region.
Djibouti co-operates closely with the African Union (AU)
and contributes to the Eastern Africa Standby Brigade (EasBrig). As
suggested above, Djibouti will deploy forces to Mogadishu within EasBrig.
Djibouti actively participates in the fight against international terrorism
since 2001 and provides important support to international efforts in this
regard. It is also providing critical support to the international effort to
tackle maritime piracy. The Foreign Minister stressed that close cooperation
with NATO is in the fundamental interest of his country. The militaries
of France and the United States play different roles in the country, but both
are important partners. The country’s leaders recognize that the presence
of Allied troops on Djibouti’s territory provides a degree of stability and
security in a region which needs more of both. The Minister also said
that the government of Djibouti shares NATO’s values of peace, security, and
democracy.
MARITIME PIRACY
Briefings on the challenge of maritime piracy and both NATO
and EU efforts to cope with it were key themes of the visit. Each year
approximately 20,000 ships pass through the natural choke point of the Gulf of
Aden, one of the world's busiest shipping lanes connecting the Gulf’s energy
producers to the world’s energy consumers. The delegation discussed maritime
piracy with host country officials as well as with senior Allied military
officers and diplomats. The delegation visited the Italian Destroyer
Andrea Doria, which was serving as the flagship of NATO Task Force 508 during
the time of the visit. Rear Admiral Gualtiero Mattesi and senior
officers of the Andrea Doria provided a comprehensive briefing on operation
Ocean Shield, NATO’s ongoing counter-piracy engagement off the Horn of
Africa.
Maritime piracy has become a lucrative “business”;
according to Djibouti’s Foreign Minister. In 2010 alone, pirates
collected an estimated US-$ 150 million in ransom money, according to Rear
Admiral Gualtiero Mattesi. If higher insurance premiums, ransoms,
security equipment, the re-routing of ships, the deployment of naval forces,
prosecutions, anti-piracy organisations, and the costs to regional economies
are included, maritime piracy is estimated to cost between US-$7-12 billion per
year. Since 2005, pirates have significantly expanded the area of operations,
largely due to the deployment of so-called “mother ships”. Pirate ships
are now operating in a vast area spanning approximately 2,800 nautical miles
from North to South and up to 1,450 nautical miles into the Indian Ocean.
Counter piracy operations off the Horn of Africa are
primarily conducted by three task forces, namely NATO task force 508 (operation
Ocean Shield, which currently consists of five vessels from Italy, the US,
Denmark and the UK, supported by Norwegian air surveillance aircraft), the EU task
force 465 (operation Atalanta, currently comprising six vessels from Germany,
Spain, the Netherlands and France) and the Combined Maritime Force Task Force
151 with eight vessels (US, UK, Thailand, Turkey, South Korea, and
Singapore). In addition, a number of independent deployers (Japan, China,
Russia, and India) have also dispatched vessels to the region for
counter-piracy operations.
Operation Ocean Shield, the Allied effort to contain
maritime piracy in the Gulf of Aden and the Somali Basin focuses on four
objectives:
- deterring and disrupting pirate operations at sea;
- coordinating international counter-piracy efforts;
- enhancing the maritime community’s capacity to counter-piracy effectively
- developing a regional counter-piracy capability.
On the operational level, NATO forces protect ships passing
through the International Recommended Transit Corridor (IRTC). Task Force 508
conducts escort operations for World Food Programme (WFP) and African Union
Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) shipping. In addition, NATO vessels patrol
and monitor the Somali coastline and intercept suspected pirate vessels moving
offshore. They also encourage ships passing through the region to adopt a range
of measures to protect themselves from pirate attacks. Regular exchanges
with commanding officers of EUNAVFOR Atalanta and the other counter piracy task
forces ensure co-ordination of the wider counter-piracy effort.
While they are coordinating their co-operations, the EU
counter-piracy mission differs from that of NATO, Rear Admiral Thomas Jugel,
Force Commander of the EU NAVFOR, Task Force 465, told the delegation.
Atalanta – the European Union’s first naval operation – is conducted within the
framework of the European Security and Defence Policy (ESDP). Launched in
support of United Nations Security Council Resolutions 1814, 1816, 1838 and
1846 adopted in 2008, the European Union’s Naval Force (EU NAVFOR 465) Somalia
– Operation is designed to protect merchant vessels carrying humanitarian aid
on behalf of the World Food Programme (WFP) and the African Union Mission in
Somalia (AMISOM). EU NAVFOR also protects vulnerable vessels in the
Gulf of Aden and Indian Ocean and deters and disrupts maritime piracy
while monitoring fishing activity off the coast of Somalia.
The operation, originally scheduled for an initial period
of twelve months, has been extended by the EU Council until September
2012. At present, eight EU member states are contributing to the
operation: Italy, the Netherlands, Germany, France, Spain, Belgium,
Luxemburg and Greece. Atalanta currently engages six ships, eight
helicopters and six maritime patrol aircraft. The military personnel
involved in the operation can arrest, detain and transfer persons who are
suspected of, or who have committed, acts of piracy or armed robbery in the
mission area. They can seize pirate vessels captured during operations as
well as the goods on board. EU member states are positioned to prosecute
those accused of piracy as can Kenya under the agreement signed with the EU on
6 March 2009 giving the Kenyan authorities the right to prosecute.
This broad counter piracy effort has helped lower the level
of pirate operations in this region. Between 31 May and 30 November 2011
the number of pirated ships fell from 21 to 9 and the number of hostages
declined from 485 and 240. Admiral Jugel noted that, since Atalanta
commenced, no single ship of the WFP has been pirated thus ensuring the
delivery of 130,000 tons of supplies to Somalia. Cooperation between the
NATO and the EU taskforces and with the two other counter-piracy taskforces
operating in the region has helped ensure a degree of efficiency.
Yet serious challenges are evident. Piracy is taking place
over a vast area that simply cannot be entirely covered.
Taken together, the counter-piracy operations of NATO, the EU, and the
international community comprise a maximum of 30 ships tasked with patrolling
an area the size of Europe. Admiral Jugel warned that Atalanta operates
with very limited forces and could fall “below the red line” soon if EU member
states failed to maintain current force levels in 2012. He noted that the
operation urgently needs ships, helicopters and aircraft.
Various speakers suggested that the maritime piracy off the
Horn of Africa can be reduced but cannot be completely eliminated with the
available means and policies. Piracy in the region is tied to problems on
land. Officials noted that the Allied forces in the area could have the
capability to engage on land, but are currently not authorized to do so as
member states have not agreed on more robust rules of engagement.
By tackling piracy at sea, the international community is
taking on the symptoms rather than the root causes of piracy. Military
efforts, moreover, are not sufficient to deal with the challenge; a
comprehensive military-civilian approach will ultimately be needed and Somalia
itself will need to make a great deal of political and economic progress before
the problem can be more fully addressed. Pirate cases will also have to
be more effectively prosecuted.
SOMALIA
Members also discussed the situation in Somalia. The
al-Shabab militia is not only threatening Somalia, but also neighbouring
countries, including Djibouti. Continued fighting between the
Transitional Federal Government (TFG) and the Al-Shabab insurgents in South and
Central Somalia, combined with a recent drought, have led 350,000 Somalis in
2011 alone to leave their country, according to the UNCHR representative.
The Foreign Minister called for the international community to maintain
pressure on the al-Shabab militia to prevent it from extending its operations
into Djibouti. He warned of al-Shabab’s dangerous ideology, adding that
‘the militia also has a plan of action to spread destruction and devastation to
the whole world’. Speakers who commented on Kenya’s recent military
intervention into South Somalia expressed scepticism that the operation could
contain Al Shabab successfully. In their view, AMISOM is better placed to
take on the al-Shabab militia, though some wondered if AMISOM may not need more
robust rules of engagement.
Somalia is a serious concern for all of East Africa and the
situation is highly complex there. The country is not uniformly unstable.
Somaliland, for example, is very stable and seems to have a bright
future. Puntland is moving in this direction but it remains a centre for
criminal operations that are holding its development back. South Somalia,
however, operates in a Hobbesian universe characterized by violence, famine and
anarchy. The situation there has broader regional implications and is
obviously related to the problems of piracy and terrorism. The old clan
structures of south Somalia have broken down, and there is simply no sign of
civil society asserting itself in that region. The problem, in fact, is not
piracy, it is the lack of legitimate and effective government in Somalia.
Piracy is merely a symptom of a far greater problem. The security challenge is
compounded by the sheer size of the Somali coast and its hinterland.
Minister Youssouf emphasized the need to stabilise as much
of Somalia as possible. In this context he noted that the Transitional
Federal Government (TFG) in Somalia needs the support of the international
community. The Minister acknowledged that the TFG has been viewed
sceptically. However, he reminded the delegation that the international
community has no other official partner on the ground in Somalia. NATO
and NATO member states should continue to support the AU and the AMISOM forces
there. NATO could help in capacity building and in providing standby
forces, he added.
Somalia’s neighbours are working together to help stabilise
the situation in the country. Djibouti hosted several UN-sponsored
conferences on the stabilisation of Somalia in 2008 and 2009 and provided
military training for troops of Somalia’s Transitional Federal Government
(TFG). Moreover, the seven member countries of the Inter-Governmental
Authority for Development (IGAD), the secretariat of which is based in
Djibouti, are committed to supporting positive change there. IGAD's
mandate is to build regional cooperation and economic integration, and it has
also sought to support Somalia's TFG.
The EU and its member states support AMISOM financially, in
terms of planning and capacity building, in order to increase, in particular,
the efficiency of the Somali police force and to combat violation of human
rights. The Joint Strategy Paper for Somalia for 2008 – 2013 allocates
EUR 215,8 million under the EC’s 10th European Development Fund (EDF) It covers
three main sectors of cooperation: governance, education and rural development.
Bolstering the security of maritime routes is also included in the European
Commission’s 2009-2011 indicative programme.
The delegation also discussed other regional issues
including the dangerous situation in Yemen as well as food security in East
Africa. Yemen is a heavily armed country, has very weak institutions and is
perched on the verge of civil war. An anarchic Yemen poses a general risk to
the Gulf region and beyond.
THE ROLE OF NATO ALLIES IN DJIBOUTI
During the visit the delegation also had the opportunity to
meet with senior US and French military representatives to discuss the roles
and activities of France and the US in Djibouti and the region. The presence
of French and US troops is a stabilizing factor for Djibouti and the region,
according to Foreign Minister Mahamoud Ali Youssouf.
The establishment of an American command in Africa reflects
both US recognition of the continent’s strategic importance and the existence
of an array of strategic challenges that the region is facing. East
Africa has been a particular concern. Most American forces and assets are
concentrated in Djibouti although US forces are present in a range of countries
including Tanzania, Chad, Ruanda, Mauritius and Mozambique. Djibouti,
however, is the only substantial US “footprint” on the continent and this is
not likely to change.
US forces in Africa have an essentially “soft” mission, the
delegation learned. Their primary role is outreach, the promotion of good
governance and civil-military capacity building. There are, however, some
active operations conducted out of the US base in Djibouti. While
sea-based anti-piracy missions are the responsibility of US Central Command (CENTCOM),
US Africa Command (AFRICOM) would oversee any land based operations were there
a political decision made in support of such operations. This presence
has been established since the 9/11 attacks and was initially driven by
concerns about terrorist operations on the continent. Building security
capacity across the region remains a primary goal, and the US military has
adopted a comprehensive approach which puts a special emphasis on good
governance. For this reason AFRICOM works very closely with the US State
Department and USAID to advance a range of diplomatic, development and defence
goals. This outreach includes military to military contacts but also
efforts to improve civil-military relations in the region. US forces are
also conducting training operations in Africa.
AFRICOM’s work includes, among others, coalition
integration, international peace support training and a range of smaller
projects that have positive military or security implications. For
instance, the US military is extending support to the new government in South
Sudan, which faces serious capacity, development and governance
challenges. U.S. support to that country has recently focused on helping
it to develop logistics and salary systems for its military. US support
in the region also includes infrastructure projects which can yield both
security and development benefits. AFRICOM looks at aid first from a
security perspective but also wants to ensure that it advances productivity
rather than simply creating a culture of dependence.
Famine in East Africa poses another set of serious
challenges to regional security. The United States has spent roughly $1
billion a year on famine relief in Ethiopia alone and has spent nearly as much
in other areas. Famine itself has become a recurring feature of life in
East Africa, which has grown significantly drier in recent decades. OXFAM
estimates that there have been 42 famines in the region since 1962. Some
of this is avoidable, the delegation learned. For example, Ethiopia could
be a highly productive agricultural producer, but it lacks capital, know-how
and a culture to exploit its potential, although this is beginning to change.
The American military work very closely with allies in the
region and the relationship with French forces is particularly close. US
and French forces conduct joint training operations and collaborate on a range
of military, security and intelligence matters. That said, the missions of the
two forces are different. France, for example, has a mutual security pact
with Djibouti that is a strictly bilateral affair.
Djibouti hosts the largest French military base in Africa,
with 2,000 soldiers. The presence of the French Forces in Djibouti (FFDJ)
is based on the formal security agreement of 1977. The agreement
guarantees Djibouti's territorial integrity against foreign incursions.
More generally, the FFDJ work together with the Armed Forces and the
authorities of Djibouti in a broad range of areas, including the civil-military
realm, and Rescue at Sea. In addition to the operational military
cooperation with the Armed Forces of Djibouti, the mission of the FFDJ includes
a range of bi-lateral military cooperation with different countries in the Horn
of Africa as well as a multilateral cooperation with the Eastern Africa Standby
Force (EASF). The EASF, part of the African Standby Force (ASF) which
falls under the African Union (AU), is composed of standby multidisciplinary
contingents with civilian, police and military components in their countries of
origin and ready for rapid deployment at appropriate notice. The FFDJ
have a good knowledge of regional issues and are closely co-operating with
Djiboutian authorities.
Moreover, the FFDJ provide logistical assistance to the
German and Spanish detachments, which form part of the EU counter piracy
operation Atalanta. Djibouti is one of the main forward operating
locations for EU NAVFOR with significant maritime and aviation
facilities. Since 2010, the FFDJ have also trained together with the EU
Military Training Mission Somalia (EUTM) and soldiers from Somalia’s TFG.
The delegation also had the opportunity to exchange views
with Members of the Parliament of Djibouti. Discussions with Parliament
President Idriss Arnaoud Ali and Members of the Defence Committee of Djibouti
focused on regional security issues, particularly maritime piracy and
Somalia. Meetings with representatives of the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) and the United Nations Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) on regional
economic, development, and food security issues concluded the programme.
In these sessions, the region’s very serious development challenges were
outlawed and the role of each institution in coping with a range of problems
was discussed. The lack of security in the region is a fundamental hindrance to
economic development and has been a factor in famine.